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Betting the Big 12: Week 5

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Two out of three winning weeks!

Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images


Week Four Recap

Here is the recap of our fourth week of betting action around the league...

Ok, so maybe it wasn’t THAT bad. I’m going to blame the weather delay in Oklahoma for causing a lower-scoring game between the Cowboys and Bears. At least it wasn’t an earthquake right? That would have been un-fracking-believable.

Week 4: 3-5

Season: 18-19

Bankroll: $917

Pick Wager W/L
SMU +21 $33 -$33
SMU UNDER 63.5 $33 $30
Iowa State -6.5 $22 $20
ISU UNDER 55 $44 $40
West Virginia -7 $22 -$22
WVU UNDER 51 $55 -$55
Oklahoma State +8.5 $22 -$22
OSU OVER 74 $55 -$55
Total $286 -$97

Kansas (1-2) @ Texas Tech (2-1)

Thursday, 7:30 PM, FS1

Line: Texas Tech -28.5

O/U: 80

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Whenever I see Kansas is playing an away game I just assume it is that school’s homecoming game. I looked and my hypothesis was wrong. Maybe that was part of the negotiations when West Virginia came to the Big 12.

Pat Mahomes against this Kansas secondary is going to be a treat. Texas Tech’s secondary hasn’t exactly been stellar either. They’ve been playing the bend, but mostly break, type of defense. The highest over bet I ever made was a game between Texas A&M and Baylor. The total was 84 and the sports book cashier laughed when I made it. After it covered by about 15 points, I made sure to cash my ticket at his window.

Four touchdowns is a lot for a conference game. Oh yeah, it’s Kansas. Nevermind, it’ll be a lot more fun rooting for Mahomes to routinely get in the end zone.

The Picks: Texas Tech -28.5, OVER 80

The Bets: $33 each


Baylor (4-0) @ Iowa State (1-3)

Saturday, 11 AM, FS1

Line: Baylor -17

O/U: 60

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

An undefeated team and a plan to honor one of the greatest pieces of SCUM ever. That is why Baylor is straight en fuego right now. Does the Big 12 really want Baylor to make the playoff? They are really the conference's only chance. Barf.

Many of you expected to return this week to an 0-4 football team. Campbell and company said "No way Jose" and opened the floodgates in a 44-10 victory over a depleted Spartans team. Pollard started working the phones after the game to get San Jose State into the Big 12.

Campbell said during his press conference this week that he doesn’t care whether they are 100 point underdogs or the favorites. He just wants to focus on making Iowa State better. Personally, I don’t want Iowa State to ever be 100 point underdogs Matt.

Iowa State got gashed on the ground last week. Baylor could do the same, but I'm hoping little Briles will get too pass-happy. The over will hit, and we’ll hope Iowa State keeps it close enough to make it watchable in the second half.

The Picks: Iowa State +17, OVER 60

The Bets: $22, $44


Texas (2-1) @ Oklahoma State (2-2)

Saturday, 11 AM, ABC

Line: Oklahoma State -2.5

O/U: 71.5

Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Charlie Strong’s whole staff is on notice. The message is crystal clear. Everyone up to, but excluding, the head coach needs to be held accountable. Point taken Mr. Strong. Louisville seems to be doing just fine without you.

Mike Gundy’s mullet doesn’t look nearly as cool now that he is coaching a .500 football team. Turnovers and poorly timed miscues turned what should have been an exciting game into a hot mess (can’t believe I just said hot mess publicly).

It turns out Texas’ win over Notre Dame wasn’t as big as it seemed at the time. They still have talent though along with a bye week to prepare for the Cowboys. Give me the ‘Horns straight up.

The Picks: Texas +150, OVER 71.5

The Bets: $30, $22


Kansas State (2-1) @ West Virginia (3-0)

Saturday, 2:30 PM, ESPNU

Line: West Virginia -3.5

O/U: 54

Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Kansas State has feasted on cupcakes lately and now they get their second true road test of the season. This is the week we find out if West Virginia can emerge as a second true playoff contender in the conference. I don’t think any Big 12 team will get in with one loss. Oklahoma was the only team that held that hope and now they have two losses.

I have this sour taste in my mouth every time I see West Virginia appear on the Big 12 schedule. It has nothing to do with their inbreeding or couch burning. My theory is the sour taste is still there from their three hour basketball games. There is nothing worse than playing the next game on TV after Huggins and company get done.

Kansas State and West Virginia football don’t do much for the eyeballs either. We got burned on the Mountaineers last week when they couldn’t hold onto the spread against BYU, although they held on for the win. They won’t burn us two weeks in a row, will they?

The Picks: West Virginia -3.5, OVER 54

The Bets: $44, $33


Oklahoma (1-2) @ TCU (3-1)

Saturday, 4 PM, FOX

Line: Oklahoma -3.5

O/U: 69.5

Photo by Brett Deering/Getty Images

One more week. We will give the Sooners one more week to show they are something more than a team destined for the Russell Athletic Bowl. The 1-2 record even has their athletic director rethinking the whole conference expansion idea.

TCU went over to SMU last Friday night and walked out with a 30-point win in a game that was a heck of a lot closer than it appeared. The Horned Frogs only giving up a field goal was a sign of improvement on the defensive end, but SMU rolled out an offense that even Courtney Messingham would have considered idle.

I just am not sold on TCU. This game will get into a bit of a shootout and I have more confidence in Baker Mayfield answering the bell on offense than Kenny Hill. We are going to roll with the Sooners, if for no other reason than we might get to see the crying OU girl make a re-appearance next week.

Hill and company don't score enough to cover the side or the over.

The Picks: Oklahoma -3.5, UNDER 69.5

The Bets: $33 each


Week 5 Summary

Five games, five sides, five totals. Here are your winning wagers for the week. Good luck.

Pick Wager
Tech -28.5 $33
Tech OVER 80 $33
ISU +17 $22
ISU OVER 60 $44
Texas +150 $30
Texas OVER 71.5 $22
West Virginia -3.5 $44
WVU OVER 54 $33
Oklahoma -3.5 $33
Oklahoma UNDER 69.5 $33
Total $327