Week One Recap
With most of the Big 12
beating up on playing FCS opponents, there wasn’t much action in play this last weekend. We had four bets and went 2-2. One of these weeks I will learn to not bet against the vampire, but last week wasn't one of them. Where is Ron Prince when you need him?
Oklahoma shitting the bed? We shouldn't be so surprised; we were just hoping it would happen the first week of November in Ames. Texas and West Virginia? Those were stone cold locks.
Here is a summary of our action from last week.
|WVU UNDER 50.5||$22||$20|
CloneTeach Bankroll: $994
Money Won/Lost: -$6
Central Michigan (1-0) @ Oklahoma State (1-0)
Saturday, 11 am, FS1
Line: Oklahoma State -20.5
The Cowboys are coming off a 61-7 thrashing of SE Louisiana in their opener while the Chippewas beat Presbyterian by 46 points. What did we learn from those performances? Nothing. Absolutely nothing.
The Cowboys will move to 2-0 after Saturday, but it won’t be as easy as they would have liked. The spread and total indicates a 41-20 type of ball game. Nope. Not going to happen. The Cowboys will step up their non-conference schedule next week against Pittsburgh.
The Picks: Central Michigan +20.5, UNDER 61
The Bets: $22 each
Youngstown State (1-0) @ West Virginia (1-0)
Saturday, 1 pm
The fat lady will sing early and often in this one, and she might even sport a mustache. Just make sure to not call her out on Twitter, as she gets pretty defensive pretty quick.
The Pick: West Virginia 33, Youngstown State 10
Ohio (0-1) @ Kansas (1-0)
Saturday, 1:30 pm, FSN
Line: Kansas -3
Kansas is favored for the second straight week? Is this 2007?!
Ohio is coming off a 56-54 loss to Texas State. Scoring 54 points? Impressive. Giving up 56 to Texas State? Embarrassing.
Kansas, on the other hand, destroyed a Catalina-less Rhode Island team 55-6 for their first win in 15 games. Their fans decided to rush the field in celebration. Wait, what? I thought KU fans were above that? Good news, KU fans. You can act like you’ve been there before after this Saturday’s game.
Ohio opened as a 1 point favorite and money quickly came in on Kansas. No Bates, no Blakenship, no win for Solich and company Saturday in Lawrence.
The Picks: Kansas -3, OVER 59.5
The Bet: $22, $11
SMU (1-0) @ Baylor (1-0)
Saturday, 2:30 pm, FS1
Line: Baylor -32
The collapse that people are expecting for Baylor this season isn’t going to happen. They might not win 10 games, but they are a dangerous, dangerous football team that rolled to 55-7 rout over Northwestern State last weekend.
Think last year’s results are taken into account in Vegas? The result in 2015 was a 56-21 win for Baylor. Total points: 77. Spread: 35. It would appear they are expecting a near repeat of last year.
SMU is improved (slightly) from last year and Baylor is still a wildcard. Baylor might win by four touchdowns, but that still isn’t enough to cover the spread.
The Pick: SMU +32
The Bet: $11
Arkansas (1-0) @ TCU (1-0)
Saturday, 6 pm, ESPN
Line: TCU -7.5
TCU did not look like a contender in the Big 12 in their game Saturday against the "Fighting Otzelbergers." The Horned Frogs ended up pulling away for an 18 point victory, but the game was much closer than the score indicated.
Arkansas, behind the defensive masterminds of Paul Rhoads and Wally Burnham, blew Louisiana Tech out by a score of 21-20. Has Rhoads made it onto "Being Bielema" yet?
Teams like this make week 2 one of the hardest weeks to pick. There's a small sample size telling you this will be a "suck off" and yet in the back of your mind you know each team is capable of a lot more than what they showed you in week 1.
The public money thus far has actually come in on Arkansas and I can see why with the hook on top of the touchdown spread. The Horned Frogs win this one and both defenses struggle to keep their opponent out of the end zone.
The Picks: TCU -7.5, OVER 58.5
The Bets: $11, $22
UTEP (1-0) @ Texas (1-0)
Saturday, 6 pm, LHN
Line: Texas -28
Bevo must have heard me ripping on Texas’ plan to go with a two quarterback offense. It worked, for now. I have a lot of confidence in Texas being a good team and the true freshman Buechele looked pretty solid operating the passing game.
In fact, Buechele wasn’t even supposed to be born. It turns out he was an excellent swimmer at a really, really young age. It’s either that or his mom has some explainin’ to do.
Remember when basketball teams would play exhibitions against teams like EA Sports? UTEP is Marathon Oil. Every once in awhile though, Marathon Oil would sneak up and give someone a game. Marathon Oil will keep it within four touchdowns in this game as Swoopes keeps it on the ground and the Longhorns have a bit of a hangover while playing on a short week.
Marathon Oil UTEP +28
The Bet: $22
UL Monroe (1-0) @ Oklahoma (0-1)
Saturday, 6 pm
Line: Oklahoma -46.5
Man, 46.5 points is a ton of points for a team that still remains winless on the season. If you know a Sooner fan give them a hug. Their last two OU experiences have been suffering the biggest blowout in Final Four history and losing to former Cyclone coach Tom Herman’s Houston team. Bob can’t even set his sights on Iowa City now after Iowa and Kirk Ferentz agreed to ten more years of mediocrity.
46.5 points. FOURTY-SIX-AND-A-HALF-POINTS! Oklahoma’s defense is a work in progress. The Warhawks will get on the board and make this a tough cover for Stoops and company.
The Pick: UL Monroe +46.5
The Bet: $22
Texas Tech (1-0) @ Arizona State (1-0)
Saturday, 9 pm, FS1
Line: Arizona State -3
Texas Tech did the most Kliff Kingsbury thing ever and scored 69 points in their opener against Stephen F Austin. Patrick Mahomes is the real deal. He accounted for 483 yards passing and 6 total touchdowns in Saturday’s win. If he stays healthy all year, Texas Tech will do some damage. If he gets hurt? Well, then they are screwed.
Todd Graham has finally stayed at one school for longer than a month it appears and his Sun Devil team cruised to a 44-13 win over Northern Arizona in their opener. That didn’t stop some fans for criticizing the Sun Devils for what they thought was a lackadaisical performance.
The Sun Devils have a new quarterback, offensive line issues and several new assistants.
The public money is pouring in on Texas Tech, BUT the public doesn’t always lose.
The Pick: Texas Tech +3
The Bet: $22
Iowa State (0-1) @ Iowa (1-0)
Saturday, 6:30 pm, BTN
Line: Iowa -15
If you wanted ISU in this one, I hope you got the 18 points while it was available before CJ Beathard got suspended. This week you will hear the cliches like home-field advantage, rivalry game, throw the records out the window, etc. The truth is that home-field advantage hasn’t meant much in this series. The road team has won the last four games between the schools.
It comes as news to no one that Iowa State’s offense looked like garbage Saturday against UNI. What was lost on some is that the defense actually played pretty darn well and will get D’Andre Payne back from injury this week. If ISU has a chance in this one, I think the under will have to cash as well.
Call me a homer, call me an optimist, call me clueless. This game will stay within two scores.
The Picks: ISU +15, UNDER 51
The Bets: $11 each
Below you can find a summary of all of our action this weekend. In total we are betting about 21% of our bankroll this weekend. That might be a little steep, but with only one game against a FCS team there were a lot of games to choose from. Let’s make that money!
|Central Mich. +20.5||$22|
|CMU UNDER 61||$22|
|Kansas OVER 59.5||$11|
|TCU OVER 58.5||$22|
|UL Monroe +46.5||$22|
|Texas Tech +3||$22|
|ISU UNDER 51||$11|