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Betting the Big 12: Week Two

One week down, many more to go!

NCAA Football: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma
Kyler Murray
Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports

Well we went 1 for 3 last week, and lost $100k of the Parker Brother’s monopoly money, but who would have guessed that overrated Texas would lay another early-season rotten egg?

My big winner was Ole Miss, who got 2.5 points and slaughtered TTU and their (yet-again) pitiful defense by 20.

We have a better feel for some teams and their progress after week one, especially Oklahoma’s offensive explosion, and Kansas sucking yet again. Kansas State snuck one out late versus South Dakota, and every one else seemed to do what you should do versus Cupcake U.

Here are your bets for week two of the college football season

#16 TCU (1-0, 0-0) at Southern Methodist University (0-1, 0-0) | Friday, September 7th @ 7:00 P.M. on ESPN2 | TCU -22.5

This game will be played on a Friday, with TCU coming off a blowout victory, while SMU lost to North Texas by 23. I see much more of the same, as TCU’s defense squeezes the Mustangs, and dominates in orderly fashion.

TCU covers on the road

Now we move to Saturday’s games…

Kansas (0-1, 0-0) at Central Michigan (0-1, 0-0) | 2:00 P.M. on ESPN PLUS | Kansas +6.5

NCAA Football: Nicholls State at Kansas
Get out while you can David!
Amy Kontras-USA TODAY Sports

That’s right; a Big 12 team is giving points to a MAC program. Central Michigan, coming off a hard-fought loss to Kentucky, comes back home to play the lowly Jayhawks. Kansas does what Kansas does, which is embarrass the Big 12 conference, and did it again, losing last week to Nicholls State.

Give me CMU all day.

Lamar (1-0, 0-0) at Texas Tech (0-1, 0-0) | 3:00 P.M. | NO LINE

This is one of those game I can see Kliff Kingsbury just giving no mercy on the scoreboard. After a 20-point loss a week ago, momma’s boy has got to get on the good graces of his boosters, so you know he will not let up on the gas. I see a massive victory here for the Red Raiders.

Youngstown State (0-1, 0-0) at #17 West Virginia (1-0, 0-0) | 5:00 P.M. | NO LINE

NCAA Football: Tennessee at West Virginia
Will Grier is a Heisman Hopeful
Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

One of the most impressive victories in Week 1, WVU dominated from the get-go versus Tennessee, and everybody’s pre-season darling showed the nation how good they can be. Will Grier will continue to put up video game numbers, and David Sills could go for 4 or 5 TDs in this one. Take WVU against whatever line you can get.

Baylor (1-0, 0-0) at UTSA (0-1, 0-0) | 6:00 P.M. | Baylor -14.5

Baylor took care of business last week, slobber-knocking Abilene-Christian, and doing it with a potent ground attack. I don’t know what UTSA has to offer, but I’m a bit surprised the Baylor Bears have to travel to lowly San Antonio to play a non-conference affair. I guess that’s what they deserve…

UTSA got their ass handed to them by the coach “who plays to win the game” in Herm Edwards and ASU, but let us create bad karma for a team that deserves all of it. Take the Road Runners in this one folks.

South Alabama (0-1, 0-0) at Oklahoma State (1-0, 0-0) | 7:00 P.M | OSU -31

Oklahoma State does what they always do – completely tear a new one into their non-conference opponents. This isn’t Nick Saban’s BAMA, its South Alabama, who lost to Louisiana Tech last week, and will be rocked by the Pokes this week. OSU in a landslide.

Iowa State (0-0, 0-0) at Iowa (1-0, 0-0) | 4:00 P.M. on FOX | Iowa State +3.5

Iowa has all of FIVE Minutes of tape to watch on the Cyclones, and ISU has played all of FIVE minutes on the field. Who gains the advantage in this one? – The Team Out East, that’s who. It was paramount for ISU to gain reps, especially for the newcomers. ISU is in a hole, and it will take at least two quarters to shake the rust off. For the first time in my life, I am leaning towards an Iowa victory.

Death. Taxes. ISU FB covering against Iowa.

From a betting standpoint, you have to take the Cyclones. The good guys have covered more often than my waistband stretches every Thanksgiving.

My top THREE BEST BETS of the week

#18 Mississippi State (1-0, 0-0) at Kansas State (1-0, 0-0) |Saturday September 8th @ 11:00 A.M. on ESPN | KSU +9.5

NCAA Football: South Dakota at Kansas State
Long live the Vampire
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Las Vegas has been counting out Bill Snyder and the Wildcats for decades, and this game is no different. I would take a 2nd mortgage out on the house if the spread was 10.5 or higher, but still happy with the home team getting 9.5. Mississippi State comes off a drubbing of cupcake Stephen F. Austin, (who I honestly didn’t know had a football program), and Kansas State looked anything but impressive in a comeback victory versus MVC school South Dakota.

Doesn’t matter. Give me the Vampire and his points for $50,000 Alex

UCLA (0-1, 0-0) at Oklahoma (1-0, 0-0) | 12:00 P.M on FOX | OU -29.5

Giving nearly 30 points against another Power-5 program? I know, I know, UCLA lost last week to Cincinnati, and Oklahoma looked like the next coming of the “Greatest Show on Turf” St Louis Rams. But 29.5 points? This is a spread that Sharps only dream of. Regression is the name of the game, and the talent gap is not as severe between a Big-12 and Pac-12 school.

I don’t care how good Kyler Murray looked, this one just makes too much sense on paper.

UCLA +29.5 for $100,000

Tulsa (1-0, 0-0) at #23 Texas (0-1, 0-0) | 7:00 P.M. | Texas -22

Oh, Texas. That moo-cow on your helmet means nothing. Especially after you lost to depleted Big Ten dumpster-diver Maryland. You should be ashamed of yourselves, (and every other media pundit that proceeds to jump on the Longhorn Love Staff every year).

Tulsa is a decent program who is undefeated, with a good coaching staff and above average talent. This line is waaaaay too big.

Give me the Golden Hurricane and 22 points for $150 G’s

2018 WRNL College Football Betting Results

Begin the Year with $1,000,000

Week 1: 1 for 3, -$100k

Running Total $900,000