Iowa State was able to get on a two game win streak after beating Oklahoma State on Saturday night in Ames. Now they will head to Lawrence to take on Kansas following their loss to West Virginia on Saturday. This one is setting up to be a big one with major Big 12 implications.
Last Time Out
Iowa State was back in Hilton Coliseum on Saturday and they left with a 72-59 win against Oklahoma State. Marial Shayok lead the way with 20 points as the Cyclones improved their record to 4-2 in the Big 12 and 14-4 overall.
After the game started off slow, Iowa State was able to get things picked up with back to back 3 pointers by Lindell Wigginton early on in the first half. Oklahoma State came back to take a 22-21 lead. Tyrese Haliburton hit a 3 to put the Cyclones back up, and a balanced effort with great shooting pushed the Cyclone lead to 11 at the break.
Oklahoma State came back with an 11-2 run but Iowa State put a halt to it. Shayok got going in the second half and hit a few jump shots to stretch the lead to 12 with 5 minutes left. The Cowboys couldn’t get close enough to seriously threaten from there.
The Jayhawks are averaging 78 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 69.8 points on 40 percent shooting. Kansas is shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free throw line. Kansas does allow opposing teams to shoot well from beyond the arc allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep. They are grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game and once again Iowa State will have their hands full down low.
The Jayhawks have gone 3-1 since their trip to Ames in early January. They have only averaged 73 points a game in that time span which has taken a dip since they were averaging over 80 points a game in the beginning of the season. Still, Kansas sits as the 10th ranked team according to KenPom. They boast the 29th best adjusted offense in the country as well as the 9th best adjusted defense.
Opponent Player To Watch
Once again, Iowa State’s focus will have to be on Dedric Lawson. The Cyclones did a wonderful job attacking Lawson with minimal double teams in Ames and they were able to hold him to 13 points in the game and only 3 in the first half. Lawson continues to be a monster for the Jayhawks and he’s usually the engine that makes them go as he averages over 18 points a game. If Iowa State can limit him once again, they should have a great shot in this one.
What Will Happen
This game is setting up to be a dog fight. Kansas is coming off a loss and returns to the comfort of their own home and they’ll be a motivated bunch, that’s for sure. On the other hand, Iowa State proved they can win in a tough environment last week at Texas Tech and already proved they can dominate Kansas.
Big 12 implications are on the line in this one as well. The winner according to advance analytics will have a 54% chance to have at least a share of the Big 12 title, the loser will be below 30%. Steve Prohm has proven he can get his guys up for a big game and one in Allen Fieldhouse. This one will be back and forth and Iowa State will almost certainly have to overcome some huge adversity at some point in this one to win.
Call me crazy, but I’m going with my heart on this one. Give me the Cyclones by one. Suck it Kansas.
The Pick: Iowa State-75 Kansas-74
1- THT scores 14 points
2- Iowa State gets outrebounded
3- Dederic Lawson scores below 15 once again as another Jayhawk makes a bigger impact
The Matchup: Iowa State (14-4, 4-2 Big 12) vs. Kansas (15-3, 4-2 Big 12)
Where: Lawrence, Kan. - Allen Fieldhouse (16,300)
When: Monday, Jan. 21, 8 p.m. (CST)
Radio: Cyclone Radio Network/TuneIn RadioTalent: John Walters (PxP), Eric Heft (Analyst)
TV: ESPNTalent: Bob Wischusen (PxP), Fran Fraschilla (Analyst); Holly Rowe (Reporter)
Sirius/XM/Internet: 81/81/81 (internet)
Live Stats: KUathletics.com