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Betting the Big 12: Week 6 Edition

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Take my Advice at your own risk...

NCAA Football: Kansas State at Oklahoma State
Chuba is chugging right along for the Pokes!
Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

Wooftah.

That’s Vegas pushing me down into a slow death.

Before too long, the Milton Brothers and their moustaches will be by to break my legs after my 0-2 record last week, but they have given us folks a few extra weeks to get back on track.

Let’s hope our luck can turn around. This Big 12 conference is a hard one to figure out, and with so many new coaches, it is truly Jekyll and Hyde week to week for some teams.

This week will have a full slate of 5 conference games and no BYE weeks

Here is Week 6 of Betting the Big 12

SATURDAY October 5th GAMES

TCU (3-1, 1-0) at Iowa State (2-2, 0-1) | 11:00 A.M. On ESPN2 | ISU -3

This is the month that Iowa State has historically turned the corner in the Campbell era. Brock Purdy has continued to impress, and while he didn’t play a complete game last week, he looked like an All-American in the fourth quarter.

TCU slaughtered Kansas, gaining their sanity back after losing to in-state rival SMU the week prior. The score was 38-0 at the half, and the Horny Toads held KU’s pitiful offense to only 159 yards.

This seems to play in to another low-scoring affair, as both defenses are two of the best in the conference. I foresee the line moving towards TCU with the sharps, but am not going to touch it with a 10-foot pole. With that being said, take a look at playing the under at 48.

#6 Oklahoma (4-0, 1-0) at Kansas (2-3, 0-2) | 11:00 A.M. on ABC | OU -35

Kansas v TCU
I’m just here for the paycheck Gary
Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images

Good luck to Les Miles. His team should play the ultimate keep away game, running the play clock down to zero on every play, and pray that Jalen Hurts comes down with the flu.

Not gonna happen. OU’s backups could win this matchup. It makes me laugh that ABC is carrying this game in the 11 AM slot, they should have tucked this one away for an after dark 11 PM timeframe.

This is the epitome of a varsity squad against junior high talent. Give me the Sooners and the 5-touchdown spread.

Baylor (4-0, 1-0) at Kansas State (3-1, 0-1) | 2:30 P.M. on ESPN2 | KSU -3.5

This will be a great matchup, as both teams are well coached and play fundamental football. Chris Klieman and his crew got punched in the mouth last week by Oklahoma State, while Baylor nearly pissed the ISU game down their leg.

Expect solid defense with few points on the scoreboard, and a game that could go either way. I think the Wildcats take care of business at home, but is hard for me to put any confidence in betting anything less than a field goal spread.

Here are my best bets for Week FIVE of the 2019 Season

#21 Oklahoma State (4-1, 1-1) at Texas Tech (2-2, 0-1) | 11:00 A.M. on FS1 | OSU -8.5

The fighting Gundy Mullet’s are off to another hot start, behind the legs of Chuba Hubbard, who ran all over K-State for 296 yards last week. The next best rusher in the Big 12 is an amazing 450 RUSHING yards behind Hubbard, as the sophomore averages nearly 190 per game.

Next up – Texas Tech and another putrid defense. Quarterback Alan Bowman is still out, and Jet Duffey will be able to move the ball for the Red Raiders, but not nearly enough to make this game a close one.

Okie State is 5-0 against the spread in 2019, and will continue against Tech. I’ll take the Cowboys for $100k (1 unit) and will eat the 8.5 points.

#11 Texas (3-1, 1-0) at West Virginia (3-1, 1-0) | 2:30 P.M. on FS1 | Texas -10

Tom Herman and his Longhorns come off a BYE week after holding on to beat Okie State the week prior. They travel to Morgantown to play new coach Neal Brown, as the Mountaineers had a BYE of their own.

Texas is clearly the better team on paper, but they are making their first trip on the road. West Virginia’s offense so far this year has been God awful, good for dead last in the Big 12 in total yards per game. Texas’s defense has been picked on lately, but they have a special offensive playmaker in quarterback Sam Ehlinger.

I expect Texas to win and take care of business. Their intensity and resilience impressed me in that Oklahoma State game, and I expect the same on Saturday.

Give me the Longhorns for $100k (1 unit) and the 10 points they are laying.

2019 WRNL College Football Betting Results

Begin the Year with $1,000,000

Week 1: 2 for 3, PLUS $80k

Week 2: 1 for 3, MINUS $65k

Week 3: 2 for 3, MINUS $560k

Week 4: 0 for 2, MINUS $450k

The Milton Brothers from Monopoly lent us $500k more to play with.. Haha

Week 5: 0 for 2, Minus $200k

Running Total $300k