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Iowa State MBB Analytics Report - Week 12 (1/27/20)

It could be worse.

photo via: kcrg.com

You can read last week’s analytics report here.

Last Week’s Notable Iowa State Game News:

Jan 21st: Iowa State (8-9) (1-4): 89 vs. Oklahoma State (8-9) (0-5): 82

The Cyclones opened up the week with a big win against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. You can read our full game recap here. This was one of Iowa State’s most complete games of the season. Solomon Young had his best game of the season. The big man was wildly efficient as shot 7/8 from the field and 13/15 from the free throw line. Solomon finished with a team high offensive rating of 143.

The Cyclone front court of Rasir Bolton and Tyrese Haliburton were not too far behind Young. The duo finished 10/15 from behind the three point arc combined, on the night. Bolton finished with an offensive rating of 121, and Haliburton finished at 141. This game hopefully provided Steve Prohm with the blueprint to success for this Cyclone roster.

Jan. 18th: Iowa State (9-9): 76 @ #16 Auburn (16-2): 80

ISU did their best to carry their momentum into their Big 12/SEC challenge matchup with Auburn. Unfortunately it did not lead to a victory as they Cyclones late comeback cam up just short. You can read our full game recap here. Iowa State’s three point shooting once again hindered their chance to win in this one. If they were even “okay” on the day from behind the arc, it could’ve resulted in mark in the win loss column.

Solomon Young put together another solid performance in this game. He contributed a very hard 24 minutes for the Cyclones off the bench. He finished with an offensive rating of 110, but the energy provided will not show up in that number. In another surprise, Terrence Lewis has arguably his best game of the season. The junior guard finished with an offensive rating of 124 (2nd on the team) as he almost willed ISU back into this game. This game certainly provided Steve Prohm with some roster decisions heading into their Wednesday matchup against the number one team in the country.

Notable Iowa State Team Stats:

  • Currently 64th ranked team in the country on KenPom *(compared to 63rd last week)
  • 34th in adjusted offensive efficiency (111.7) *(39th last week)
  • 124th in adjusted defensive efficiency (100.2) *(110th last week)

Notable Iowa State Individual Stats:

  • George Conditt IV is 51st in the country in Offensive Rebounding Percentage (13.2) *55th last week
  • George Conditt IV is 16th in the country in BLK% (12.28) *15th last week
  • George Conditt IV is 89th in the country in 2P FG% (63.4) *61st last week

  • Tyrese Haliburton is 71st in the country in Offensive Rating (121.9) *99th last week
  • Tyrese Haliburton is 65th in the country in effective field goal percentage (61.1%) *unranked last week
  • Tyrese Haliburton is 27th in the country in Assist Rate (36.3%) *21st last week
  • Tyrese Haliburton is 49th in the country in Steal Percentage (3.85%) *55th last week
  • Tyrese Haliburton is 77th in the country in True Shooting Percentage (62.6%) *unranked last week
  • Tyrese Haliburton is still 4th in the country in Offensive Box Plus Minus (9.3)
  • Tyrese Haliburton is 8th in the country in APG (7.1) *6th last week
  • Tyrese Haliburton is 8th in the country in SPG (2.6) *unranked last week

  • Prentiss Nixon is 92nd in the country in Turnover Percentage (10.4%) *unranked last week. (not a good thing)

**no other ISU player is ranked in the top 100 of any major statistical category.**

Player by Player Efficiency:

  • Tyrese Haliburton (40 MPG)—> 20.1 USG%/26.1 PER WS: 3.4 (D+/-): [3.1]

*last week: (39 MPG) (20.9/26.4) WS: 3.1 (D+/-): [3.0]

  • Rasir Bolton (35.5 MPG)—> 25.5 USG%/17.7 PER WS: 1.8 (D+/-): [-0.9]

*(29.5 MPG) (25.0/16.6) WS: 1.5 (D+/-): [-0.8]

  • Solomon Young (27 MPG)—> 22.3 USG%/21.4 PER WS: 1.4 (D+/-): [1.1]

*(15.5 MPG) (21.5/19.1) WS: 1.0 (D+/-): [1.2]

  • Prentiss Nixon (23 MPG)—> 18.1 USG%/9.6 PER WS: 0.8 (D+/-): [0.5]

*(32 MPG) (18.4/9.7) WS: 0.8 (D+/-): [0.7]

  • Terrence Lewis (22 MPG)—> 20.9 USG%/18.9 PER WS: 0.5 (D+/-): [-2.0]

*(20.4 MPG) (20.4/16.9) WS: 0.4 (D+/-): [-2.3]

  • Michael Jacobson (16 MPG)—> 17.7 USG%/13.6 PER WS: 1.0 (D+/-): [0.2]

*(22.5 MPG (18.0/14.5) WS: 1.0 (D+/-): [0.4]

  • Caleb Grill (13.5 MPG)—> 14.7 USG%/5.7 PER WS: 0.1 (D+/-): [1.0]

*(6 MPG) (14.1/7.7) WS: 0.2 (D+/-): [1.0]

  • George Conditt IV (13 MPG)—> 22.7 USG%/25.8 PER WS: 1.5 (D+/-): [6.5]

*(13 MPG) (22.9/27.0) WS: 1.5 (D+/-): [6.2]

  • Zion Griffin (11.5 MPG)—> 18.6 USG%/15.2 PER WS: 0.5 (D+/-): [0.1]

*(7 MPG) (18.4/15.9) WS: 0.5 (D+/-): [0.2]

  • Tre Jackson (10 MPG)—> 14.1 USG%/8.1 PER WS: 0.4 (D+/-): [1.7]

*(22.5 MPG) (14.1/7.8) WS: 0.4 (D+/-): [2.0]

Previewing Week 13 for Iowa State:

Jan. 29th: Iowa State (9-10) (2-4) vs. #1 Baylor (17-1) (6-0)

The Cyclones host the number one team in the country Wednesday night. This is one of their last resumé builders of the regular season if they still want a chance to make the NCAA Tournament. The Bears are ranked as the fourth best team in the country according to KenPom.com. They’re 18th in adjusted offensive efficiency, but they’re fourth defensively.

Baylor is one of the toughest teams in the country. They’re led by arguably the most underrated player in the country Jared Butler who is leading them in scoring at 15.3 per contest. The strength of Baylor may be their rebounding, as they’re led by Freddie Gillespie in that area. The big man is 14th in the country in offensive rating and 10th in offensive rebounding percentage.

Iowa State’s blueprint to victory will always be three point shooting. If they’re not hitting their shots from behind the arc the losses will unfortunately keep rolling in.

Feb. 1st: Iowa State (9-10) (2-4) @ Texas (12-7) (2-4)

No matter how Wednesday goes, this game is about as close to as a “must-win” as you can get. The Longhorns are ranked as the 75th overall team in the country according to KenPom.com. They’re 124th in offensive efficiency, and 57th defensively.

Shaka Smart’s team is led by junior guard Matt Coleman III, who is averaging a team high 12.4 points per game. Smart’s teams have always had a defensive identity and this year is no different. UT is very beatable as they’re 3-6 in their last nine games. I believe that Iowa State matches up very well against the Longhorns and there is no reason why they cannot leave Austin with a win.